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                      AutoSoft Systems
        AutoSoft Systems 2 Round Hill Court
        East Greenwich, RI 02818
        401.885.3631
        401.884.5653 Fax
                        401.996.3631 Cell
AMDG       Decision Ready Information! autosoft@aol.com
Commercial & custom multi-user computer software for a variety of applications including performance metrics, statistical analysis, data extraction and merger from multiple large databases, computer simulation and management information systems.  Founded in 1982.
We know Excel! Whenever possible, Excel is the user interface, VBA is the programming language, ODBC connects to the database of your choice.
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                            AMDG
Picking Stock Market Winners
                            A rainbow coming out of a pot of gold

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Trying to pick winners in the Stock Market is like looking for the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow.

Many have tried and failed.  
 
Equity Risk Sciences, Inc. (ERS) has been working on models for doing just that for more than a decade!
Click here to see a summary of ERS's current efforts
ERS commissioned Dr. Serdakowski to perform an independent validation of ERS's models.  Dr. Serdakowski interviewed ERS's employees to determine how their models were implemented.  Dr. Serdakowski then started with a blank Excel workbook and independently built a Backtester using the same logic communicated to him by ERS's employees.
The results of Dr. Serdakowski's work were remarkable and totally validated ERS's backtesting model.
For the 10 year period ending on 12/31/2022 the S&P 500 returned an annual yield of 12.6%.
ERS's Portfolio Manager yielded at 20.4% annual return for the same period.
Dr. Serdakowski's reconstruction of ERS's Portfolio Manager yielded at 20.0% return for the same period.
In short, Dr. Serdakowski could find no error in ERS's Portfolio Manager's Backtest.*
Click here for a summary of Dr. Serdakowski's findings.
* ERS has 4 proprietary metrics that are calculated for every stock on every trading day. I am not privy to those calculations, so I accept their word that these 4 metrics are calculated based on backward-looking properties of each stock and that the calculations are accurately stored in ERS’s database.
                               
AutoSoft Systems | 2 Round Hill Court, East Greenwich, Rhode Island, USA 02818 | 401.885.3631 | Fax: 401.884.5653 | Mobile: 401.996.3631 
This web page was last updated at 03/21/2024 03:54 PM and is written in EXCEL!
AXIOM is a Trademark of Consona - USYS is a Trademark of Zumbach - AutoSoft Systems is not affiliated with Consona nor Zumbach